Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 5.724344 6.283127 6.897546 7.627937 8.478687 9.446027 10.640283
2024-10-20 4.705132 5.418152 6.261941 7.350953 8.744989 10.507532 12.970086
2024-10-27 4.140955 4.917023 5.880581 7.195910 8.997428 11.465906 15.279243
2024-11-03 3.773136 4.586157 5.633755 7.129231 9.295325 12.477205 17.867035
2024-11-10 3.643105 4.533121 5.724034 7.505537 10.246993 14.603641 22.847284
2024-11-17 3.462172 4.386736 5.660952 7.640038 10.842373 16.290044 27.705746
2024-11-24 3.233270 4.150299 5.441448 7.503271 10.968909 17.188307 31.372830
2024-12-01 3.054640 3.968281 5.280481 7.431576 11.182571 18.282061 35.975393
2024-12-08 2.875846 3.771757 5.079116 7.268349 11.203671 18.997250 40.023190
2024-12-15 2.748127 3.640301 4.964153 7.231826 11.444857 20.220916 46.205053
2024-12-22 2.635020 3.522463 4.859760 7.199500 11.685095 21.503202 53.510470
2024-12-29 2.575528 3.480810 4.870617 7.366107 12.341720 23.950935 67.171421
2025-01-05 2.419051 3.289543 4.640108 7.101464 12.122712 24.297121 73.644936
2025-01-12 2.277362 3.115217 4.428401 6.856430 11.922524 24.689233 81.308526
2025-01-19 2.168750 2.986157 4.281863 6.716781 11.929420 25.671300 93.793915
2025-01-26 2.084129 2.889970 4.183065 6.656565 12.104907 27.226344 113.149814
2025-02-02 2.074235 2.911852 4.285092 6.996170 13.286051 32.535939 179.225915
2025-02-09 2.028894 2.873114 4.278528 7.117350 13.962901 36.577065 262.300276
2025-02-16 1.949952 2.774809 4.159851 6.994128 13.982972 38.150929 328.154046
2025-02-23 1.885256 2.697043 4.073036 6.929489 14.151113 40.473432 441.588906
2025-03-02 1.813307 2.603880 3.952898 6.782214 14.065608 41.671011 556.017601
2025-03-09 1.761764 2.542869 3.887976 6.749239 14.302914 44.582801 833.100846
2025-03-16 1.713958 2.486056 3.827401 6.720046 14.548352 47.767867 1362.969629